Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.7%
Auxerre
26.9%
Draw
49.4%
Monaco
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Auxerre
vs
1.33
Monaco
Markets
BTTS40.2%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.3%
1-1
12.0%
0-0
11.0%
0-2
10.3%
1-0
10.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
5.2%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
3.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-2
3.4%
0-4
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).