Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.7%
Brentford
25.5%
Draw
25.8%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Brentford
vs
1.32
Leeds
Markets
BTTS63.3%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.561.6%
Over 3.539.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
6.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-1
5.9%
0-0
5.6%
3-0
4.5%
0-1
4.1%
3-2
3.9%
0-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).