Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.9%
Udinese
20.9%
Draw
14.3%
Sampdoria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Udinese
vs
0.76
Sampdoria
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.527.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
2-0
12.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.1%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
5.4%
4-0
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.6%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).