Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.7%
Bayern Munich
11.3%
Draw
7.1%
RB Leipzig
Expected Goals (xG)
3.43
Bayern Munich
vs
1.03
RB Leipzig
Markets
BTTS62.6%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.594.0%
Over 2.582.2%
Over 3.565.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
8.0%
3-0
7.8%
2-1
7.0%
4-1
6.9%
2-0
6.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.7%
5-0
4.6%
1-1
4.4%
3-2
4.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).