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DHT: 02CSV

01 Apr 2023 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.0%
Wolfsburg
26.7%
Draw
33.3%
Augsburg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.48

Wolfsburg

vs
1.34

Augsburg

Markets

BTTS57.8%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.0%
1-2
7.9%
0-1
7.2%
0-0
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
5.9%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).