Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.5%
Pau FC
18.4%
Draw
31.0%
Club Brugge
Expected Goals (xG)
2.54
Pau FC
vs
2.00
Club Brugge
Markets
BTTS79.5%
Over 0.599.1%
Over 1.593.9%
Over 2.583.2%
Over 3.566.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-2
6.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
5.8%
3-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
1-1
5.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-3
3.9%
4-2
3.7%
4-1
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).