Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.5%
Samsunspor
31.7%
Draw
16.8%
Fatih Karagümrük
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Samsunspor
vs
0.81
Fatih Karagümrük
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.9%
0-0
12.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
0-1
4.7%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).