Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.9%
Altrincham
28.3%
Draw
30.8%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Altrincham
vs
1.19
Sutton
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
8.5%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).