Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.7%
Pogoń Szczecin
29.4%
Draw
27.9%
Korona Kielce
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Pogoń Szczecin
vs
1.05
Korona Kielce
Markets
BTTS49.6%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.3%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).