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03 May 2026 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.9%
Fredericia
18.3%
Draw
65.8%
FC Koln

Expected Goals (xG)

1.26

Fredericia

vs
2.61

FC Koln

Markets

BTTS66.8%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.590.3%
Over 2.574.1%
Over 3.553.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.0%
1-3
7.8%
1-1
7.4%
0-2
7.1%
0-3
6.2%
2-2
5.6%
1-4
5.1%
0-1
4.9%
2-3
4.9%
2-1
4.3%
0-4
4.0%
2-4
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).