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AHT: 00CSV

12 May 2018

Rennes

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.8%
Paris SG
21.1%
Draw
25.1%
Rennes

Expected Goals (xG)

2.01

Paris SG

vs
1.31

Rennes

Markets

BTTS63.1%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.564.6%
Over 3.542.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
0-1
5.0%
3-0
4.9%
3-2
4.2%
0-0
3.3%
4-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).