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29 Aug 2021 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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9.0%
Altay
21.1%
Draw
69.9%
Fenerbahce

Expected Goals (xG)

0.80

Altay

vs
2.35

Fenerbahce

Markets

BTTS51.9%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.538.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.8%
1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
9.3%
0-1
8.0%
1-3
7.4%
0-0
6.3%
0-4
5.4%
1-4
4.4%
2-2
3.8%
2-1
3.2%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).