Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.0%
Hamilton
28.7%
Draw
45.2%
Arbroath
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Hamilton
vs
1.58
Arbroath
Markets
BTTS56.3%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.529.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
8.4%
0-1
8.4%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).