Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.9%
Tondela
30.5%
Draw
40.6%
Aves
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Tondela
vs
1.05
Aves
Markets
BTTS36.2%
Over 0.585.4%
Over 1.555.6%
Over 2.529.2%
Over 3.512.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.6%
0-0
14.6%
1-0
13.2%
1-1
12.7%
0-2
8.4%
1-2
7.0%
2-1
5.5%
2-0
5.3%
0-3
2.9%
2-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).