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AHT: 02CSV

18 Mar 2023 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.1%
Reggina
31.3%
Draw
45.7%
Cagliari

Expected Goals (xG)

0.84

Reggina

vs
1.29

Cagliari

Markets

BTTS42.5%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.2%
0-1
14.0%
0-0
13.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
5.4%
0-3
4.2%
2-0
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-1
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).