Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.1%
Aris
19.0%
Draw
18.9%
Paris SG
Expected Goals (xG)
2.17
Aris
vs
1.10
Paris SG
Markets
BTTS58.7%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.563.5%
Over 3.541.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.9%
1-0
8.7%
1-1
8.6%
3-1
7.1%
3-0
6.4%
2-2
5.4%
1-2
5.0%
0-1
4.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-1
3.9%
4-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).