Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.0%
Nott'm Forest
27.6%
Draw
52.4%
Manchester City
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Nott'm Forest
vs
1.66
Manchester City
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
0-1
10.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.9%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
5.5%
1-0
5.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).