Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.7%
Toulouse
14.1%
Draw
11.3%
Pau FC
Expected Goals (xG)
2.66
Toulouse
vs
0.93
Pau FC
Markets
BTTS55.7%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.569.5%
Over 3.548.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
1-0
7.9%
1-1
6.3%
4-0
5.8%
4-1
5.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-2
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
0-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).