Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.4%
AFC Wimbledon
23.0%
Draw
60.6%
Grimsby
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
AFC Wimbledon
vs
1.70
Grimsby
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.1%
0-2
12.6%
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
8.4%
0-3
7.1%
1-0
6.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-1
4.1%
2-2
3.5%
0-4
3.0%
2-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).