Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.2%
Colchester
26.2%
Draw
26.6%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Colchester
vs
0.97
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.2%
0-1
9.7%
2-0
9.2%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).