Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.7%
Portsmouth
31.4%
Draw
31.0%
Preston
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Portsmouth
vs
1.01
Preston
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.517.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
12.6%
1-0
12.3%
0-1
10.7%
2-1
7.7%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).