Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.8%
Frosinone
27.6%
Draw
16.7%
Ascoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Frosinone
vs
0.75
Ascoli
Markets
BTTS43.0%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
12.1%
0-0
11.0%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
6.3%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.4%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).