Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.7%
Aris
18.4%
Draw
15.9%
Strasbourg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.17
Aris
vs
0.95
Strasbourg
Markets
BTTS53.9%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.538.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
8.6%
3-0
7.5%
3-1
7.2%
0-1
4.7%
2-2
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
4-0
4.1%
0-0
3.9%
4-1
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).