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22 Jan 2023 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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87.8%
Trabzonspor
9.7%
Draw
2.5%
Istanbulspor

Expected Goals (xG)

3.44

Trabzonspor

vs
0.62

Istanbulspor

Markets

BTTS45.4%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.592.2%
Over 2.577.0%
Over 3.557.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
11.8%
2-0
10.2%
4-0
10.1%
3-1
7.2%
5-0
7.0%
2-1
6.3%
4-1
6.2%
1-0
5.0%
1-1
4.6%
5-1
4.3%
0-0
2.7%
3-2
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).