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AHT: 02

11 May 2025 · 11:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.0%
Gent
27.6%
Draw
35.4%
Antwerp

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Gent

vs
1.26

Antwerp

Markets

BTTS52.4%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.2%
1-0
9.6%
0-1
9.3%
0-0
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
8.0%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).