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01 May 2021 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.4%
Dunkerque
23.6%
Draw
23.1%
Sochaux

Expected Goals (xG)

1.55

Dunkerque

vs
0.91

Sochaux

Markets

BTTS46.2%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
8.7%
0-0
7.5%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).