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26 Apr 2025 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.9%
Cercle Brugge
24.4%
Draw
48.7%
Sint-Truiden

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Cercle Brugge

vs
1.74

Sint-Truiden

Markets

BTTS58.9%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
8.5%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.5%
1-3
5.5%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).