Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.9%
Portsmouth
21.2%
Draw
14.0%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Portsmouth
vs
0.63
Wigan
Markets
BTTS37.6%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.2%
2-0
14.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
8.6%
3-0
8.1%
0-1
6.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-0
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-2
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).