Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.2%
Notts County
27.3%
Draw
22.5%
Oldham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Notts County
vs
0.79
Oldham
Markets
BTTS39.6%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.535.6%
Over 3.516.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.5%
1-1
12.1%
0-0
11.5%
2-0
10.7%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
4.9%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
0-2
3.7%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).