Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.0%
Stirling
26.9%
Draw
54.1%
Hamilton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Stirling
vs
1.57
Hamilton
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.4%
1-1
12.6%
0-2
11.2%
0-0
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
6.7%
0-3
5.9%
2-1
4.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
3.9%
2-0
3.1%
0-4
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).