Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.2%
Sp Gijon
25.1%
Draw
32.6%
La Coruna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Sp Gijon
vs
1.27
La Coruna
Markets
BTTS55.4%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.0%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.6%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).