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DHT: 11CSV

26 Dec 2023 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.2%
FeralpiSalo
20.5%
Draw
65.3%
Venezia

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

FeralpiSalo

vs
2.26

Venezia

Markets

BTTS56.8%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.562.8%
Over 3.540.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
10.0%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.5%
0-1
8.0%
0-3
7.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-2
4.8%
0-0
4.8%
2-1
4.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-3
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).