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HHT: 20CSV

22 Apr 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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68.5%
Peterboro
17.0%
Draw
14.5%
Bristol Rvs

Expected Goals (xG)

2.26

Peterboro

vs
0.91

Bristol Rvs

Markets

BTTS52.8%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.539.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
8.1%
1-1
7.9%
3-1
7.3%
0-1
4.6%
4-0
4.5%
2-2
4.5%
4-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
0-0
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).