Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.8%
Santa Clara
31.0%
Draw
45.2%
Gil Vicente
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Santa Clara
vs
1.09
Gil Vicente
Markets
BTTS32.7%
Over 0.583.8%
Over 1.552.7%
Over 2.526.5%
Over 3.510.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.8%
0-0
16.2%
1-0
12.2%
1-1
12.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-1
4.4%
2-0
4.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-1
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).