Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.7%
Motherwell
28.1%
Draw
17.3%
Falkirk
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Motherwell
vs
0.69
Falkirk
Markets
BTTS38.9%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.4%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
12.3%
2-0
12.3%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
7.5%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.0%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).