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27 Sept 2025 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.3%
Häcken
24.8%
Draw
26.9%
Norrköping

Expected Goals (xG)

1.86

Häcken

vs
1.35

Norrköping

Markets

BTTS63.7%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.540.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
7.0%
1-2
6.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-1
5.8%
0-0
5.1%
0-1
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
4.0%
0-2
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).