Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.5%
Las Palmas
26.9%
Draw
23.7%
Malaga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Las Palmas
vs
0.88
Malaga
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.566.8%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.520.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
10.0%
0-0
9.9%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
4.2%
0-2
3.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).