Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.1%
Hanley Town
22.4%
Draw
21.6%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Hanley Town
vs
1.02
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.7%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
5.9%
3-0
5.8%
0-0
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
3.1%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).