Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.5%
Real Madrid
17.2%
Draw
9.3%
Ath Bilbao
Expected Goals (xG)
2.32
Real Madrid
vs
0.70
Ath Bilbao
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.535.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.1%
1-0
11.0%
3-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
8.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-0
5.9%
0-0
5.1%
4-1
4.1%
2-2
3.2%
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).