Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.2%
Nacional
28.1%
Draw
37.7%
Famalicao
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Nacional
vs
1.12
Famalicao
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.3%
1-1
12.8%
1-0
12.5%
0-0
10.7%
1-2
7.5%
0-2
7.1%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
2.8%
0-3
2.7%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).