Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.8%
Leeds
21.4%
Draw
11.8%
Sheffield United
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Leeds
vs
0.75
Sheffield United
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.8%
1-0
11.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.7%
0-0
7.0%
3-1
6.5%
4-0
4.5%
0-1
3.8%
2-2
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).