Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.2%
KFUM
24.4%
Draw
26.4%
Sarpsborg 08
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
KFUM
vs
1.12
Sarpsborg 08
Markets
BTTS53.9%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).