Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.7%
Hartberg
30.5%
Draw
34.8%
Sturm Graz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Hartberg
vs
1.13
Sturm Graz
Markets
BTTS46.8%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-0
11.3%
0-1
10.9%
1-0
10.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
2.8%
0-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).