Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.9%
St Etienne
14.7%
Draw
68.4%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
St Etienne
vs
3.07
Marseille
Markets
BTTS74.7%
Over 0.599.3%
Over 1.594.2%
Over 2.583.9%
Over 3.567.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-3
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
5.7%
1-4
5.7%
2-2
5.6%
0-3
4.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-1
4.4%
2-4
4.4%
0-4
3.7%
2-1
3.6%
1-5
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).