⚽ FootballData
2 – 4
AHT: 23CSV

06 Mar 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
49.2%
Arbroath
28.2%
Draw
22.6%
Queen of Sth

Expected Goals (xG)

1.65

Arbroath

vs
1.06

Queen of Sth

Markets

BTTS54.7%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-0
9.0%
0-0
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.3%
0-1
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-0
5.0%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).