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DHT: 21CSV

08 May 2021 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.7%
Barnsley
26.6%
Draw
53.7%
Norwich

Expected Goals (xG)

0.90

Barnsley

vs
1.64

Norwich

Markets

BTTS48.9%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
0-1
11.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
8.9%
1-0
6.1%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
5.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
3.2%
0-4
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).