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DHT: 11CSV

21 Jan 2023 · 13:00

Pisa

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.0%
Como
28.0%
Draw
29.0%
Pisa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.49

Como

vs
1.19

Pisa

Markets

BTTS55.2%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
9.0%
0-0
8.0%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
0-1
6.9%
2-2
5.4%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).