Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.6%
Cittadella
22.9%
Draw
63.4%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Cittadella
vs
1.96
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.530.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.1%
0-1
11.4%
1-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
0-3
7.9%
0-0
7.3%
1-3
6.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.0%
2-2
3.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).