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HHT: 10CSV

06 Oct 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.0%
Ayr
25.2%
Draw
59.8%
Dundee United

Expected Goals (xG)

0.86

Ayr

vs
1.88

Dundee United

Markets

BTTS50.7%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
0-2
11.4%
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
8.1%
0-3
7.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-1
4.5%
2-2
4.2%
1-0
3.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-4
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).