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31 Mar 2025 · 17:10

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.0%
GAIS
31.5%
Draw
26.6%
Panathinaikos

Expected Goals (xG)

1.26

GAIS

vs
0.95

Panathinaikos

Markets

BTTS45.3%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.6%
0-0
12.4%
1-0
12.4%
0-1
9.0%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
3.9%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).